It's early December. It's South Louisiana. And, for the second year in a row, we're expecting snow. Yes, snow. Not a few flakes in the air, but measurable stuff on the ground. (And yes, if it sticks your humble blogger be out X-country skiing again.)
Dear readers, "global warming" is worse than a joke; it's a fraud. Someone should "hide the decline" up Al Gore's arse.
Showing posts with label weather. Show all posts
Showing posts with label weather. Show all posts
04 December 2009
01 September 2008
Gustav Watch 01SEP08.
Here in Baton Rouge Gustav is (thankfully!) mostly a non-event so far. Like a windy thunderstorm. And, we still have power. The wind swath maps are not as dire as they were a few hours ago, and Gustav has been downgraded to a Category 2. Jay Grimes at WAFB says that Baton Rouge will not get as much wind and rain, or for as long, as earlier predictions.
Worst issue for us so far is the coffee maker overflowed this morning, and no coffee makes your humble blogger and The Boss a tad cranky. But the problem has been resolved, and we are well on our way to our normal, caffeine-driven selves.
Down in New Orleans, Mark O'Malley is finding the same anti-climax, except he has no power. He also expounds on the merits of an "Emergency Poontang Rescue Button." Does Staples know about those?
UPDATE: Lights started flickering. From past experience, it looks like we're going to be sans power in few minutes.
Worst issue for us so far is the coffee maker overflowed this morning, and no coffee makes your humble blogger and The Boss a tad cranky. But the problem has been resolved, and we are well on our way to our normal, caffeine-driven selves.
Down in New Orleans, Mark O'Malley is finding the same anti-climax, except he has no power. He also expounds on the merits of an "Emergency Poontang Rescue Button." Does Staples know about those?
UPDATE: Lights started flickering. From past experience, it looks like we're going to be sans power in few minutes.
31 August 2008
Gustav, The Political Angle.
A pretty good take from The Weekly Standard. And yes, Bobby Jindal gets a mention.
Gustav Watch 31AUG08 II.
Wind is starting to pick up a bit, temperature is dropping, and the first rain band just passed through. All in all, pretty quiet right now in Baton Rouge.
The 11PM EDT stats are out. Baton Rouge is back in the Cat 1 swath, while New Orleans has dropped out. I suspect that may change again before this is over.
The 11PM EDT stats are out. Baton Rouge is back in the Cat 1 swath, while New Orleans has dropped out. I suspect that may change again before this is over.
Gustav Watch 31AUG08.
Well, Gustav has weakened a bit, but the wind "swath" projections now show both Baton Rouge and New Orleans in the Category 1 zone. We're gonna finish getting the outside of the house prepped this afternoon, make one more "supplies" run, and then hunker down for The Wait.
New Orleans issued a mandatory evacuation (with all of the drama and exaggeration we've come to expect from Ray Nagin), as did Jefferson Parish for both the West Bank and East Bank. The area of real concern this time though, is the West Bank.
"Contra-flow" out of the city began this morning. Louisiana DOTD live traffic cameras for I-10 in New Orleans are here.
Glenn Reynolds notes one Mark O'Malley is planning to ride out the storm at his house in New Orleans' Mid-City, and will be live-blogging. Might want to check him out. If the levees hold, he should be all right. IF the levees hold......
UPDATE: Mark O'Malley finds an interesting silver lining. I've never seen it that way, either.
New Orleans issued a mandatory evacuation (with all of the drama and exaggeration we've come to expect from Ray Nagin), as did Jefferson Parish for both the West Bank and East Bank. The area of real concern this time though, is the West Bank.
"Contra-flow" out of the city began this morning. Louisiana DOTD live traffic cameras for I-10 in New Orleans are here.
Glenn Reynolds notes one Mark O'Malley is planning to ride out the storm at his house in New Orleans' Mid-City, and will be live-blogging. Might want to check him out. If the levees hold, he should be all right. IF the levees hold......
UPDATE: Mark O'Malley finds an interesting silver lining. I've never seen it that way, either.
30 August 2008
Gustav Watch 30AUG08.
Not looking good down here, folks. Wind "swath" projections, which this morning showed Category 3 winds just hitting the coast and Baton Rouge getting only tropical storm winds, now shows Category 4 winds almost to the coast, Category 3 winds inland past Morgan City, and Category 1 winds in Baton Rouge. US Navy track seems to concur.
The good news is there seem to be more preparations. There are buses staged here in Baton Rouge (we saw several dozen in a parking lot on Florida Boulevard), and my parents - who are coming up here from New Orleans via Airline Highway - said they just saw "dozens and dozens" of school buses staged at Zephyr Field in Jefferson Parish (just outside of New Orleans).
UPDATE: My folks left New Orleans about 4:30, and got here (Baton Rouge) about 6:45. They went up Airline Highway, not the Interstate. According to my father, after the airport the traffic flowed pretty much normal.
The good news is there seem to be more preparations. There are buses staged here in Baton Rouge (we saw several dozen in a parking lot on Florida Boulevard), and my parents - who are coming up here from New Orleans via Airline Highway - said they just saw "dozens and dozens" of school buses staged at Zephyr Field in Jefferson Parish (just outside of New Orleans).
UPDATE: My folks left New Orleans about 4:30, and got here (Baton Rouge) about 6:45. They went up Airline Highway, not the Interstate. According to my father, after the airport the traffic flowed pretty much normal.
29 August 2008
Gustav Watch 29AUG08
Latest track projection:
It's held pretty constant throughout the day - showing landfall somewhat more to the west than it showed Wednesday. On this track New Orleans may dodge a bullet, but it puts us catching some of the more powerful NE quadrant. Since it hasn't hit the Gulf yet, all scenarios are on the table, IMHO.
We also have one advantage we didn't have in 2005 - a competent Governor.
UPDATE 30 AUG08: Along with Golden Triangle, another excellent weather website we're watching is Crown Weather Services, which has good storm compilations including wind speed ("swath") predictions and forecasts on rain amounts.
It's held pretty constant throughout the day - showing landfall somewhat more to the west than it showed Wednesday. On this track New Orleans may dodge a bullet, but it puts us catching some of the more powerful NE quadrant. Since it hasn't hit the Gulf yet, all scenarios are on the table, IMHO.
We also have one advantage we didn't have in 2005 - a competent Governor.
UPDATE 30 AUG08: Along with Golden Triangle, another excellent weather website we're watching is Crown Weather Services, which has good storm compilations including wind speed ("swath") predictions and forecasts on rain amounts.
27 August 2008
Bowl Of Petunias Time.
Oh no, not again:
This ain't looking good, folks. As usual, much more here.
UPDATE: For those who didn't get the "Bowl of Petunias" reference, watch this. From the Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy.
This ain't looking good, folks. As usual, much more here.
UPDATE: For those who didn't get the "Bowl of Petunias" reference, watch this. From the Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy.
26 August 2008
Uh oh.
Hurricane Gustav is headed for the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico. A great roundup of info can be found here.
Keep an eye on this one.....
UPDATE 26AUG08: Track is not looking good for us in Louisiana:
Pray we don't get FEMA'd again.
Keep an eye on this one.....
UPDATE 26AUG08: Track is not looking good for us in Louisiana:
Pray we don't get FEMA'd again.
02 October 2007
Gulf Storm Update - 071002
Hmmm. Maybe something. Maybe not.
NOAA:
"Spaghetti Models"
Remember to keep checking Golden Triangle Weather Page, of course.
NOAA:
"Spaghetti Models"
Remember to keep checking Golden Triangle Weather Page, of course.
21 September 2007
Gulf Storm Watch - 070921
Looks like we actually have a Gulf Storrm - Tropical Depression 10. Not a bad one, but it is coming right at us. And here are the obligatory "sapghetti models".
According to folks at the State, Louisiana is taking no chances and is getting their emergency operations spooled up. Not a bad precaution.
According to folks at the State, Louisiana is taking no chances and is getting their emergency operations spooled up. Not a bad precaution.
19 September 2007
Gulf Storm Watch - 070919
Something of interest has appeared in the eastern Gulf:
"Spaghetti Models" of it's possible track:
Let's hope this does not develop into something worse. For New Orleans' sake, at the very least.
Source: Golden Triangle Weather Page, of course.
UPDATE: Maybe God wants these folks and their pointy hats to remember He is still out there. Many of them see Him as not really relevant anymore.
"Spaghetti Models" of it's possible track:
Let's hope this does not develop into something worse. For New Orleans' sake, at the very least.
Source: Golden Triangle Weather Page, of course.
UPDATE: Maybe God wants these folks and their pointy hats to remember He is still out there. Many of them see Him as not really relevant anymore.
12 September 2007
Gulf Storm Watch - 070912
A trpoical storm develops off the Texas coast.
And another is brewing up in the western Atlantic.
Remember, keep checking here.
And another is brewing up in the western Atlantic.
Remember, keep checking here.
10 September 2007
Gulf Storm Watch - 070910
Gabrielle is heading out to sea. But there is another disturbance out in the Atlantic, east of Grenada.
Keep checking in here for the latest updates.
Keep checking in here for the latest updates.
03 September 2007
Gulf Storn Watch - 070903
New projections have 'Felix' taking a more southerly route, skimming the northern Nicaragua / Honduras coasts and hitting Belize. For spaghetti maps and other current info go here. Oh, and take a look at the NOAA Atlantic activity map while you're there - it shows two more areas of tropical activity that may trun into something. (Or, not)
Felix is a Category 4 storm now, and the areas it is forecast to hit are remote and poor. Our church has ongoing mission work near San Pedro Sula in the northern area of Honduras, so I ask your prayers for Fr. Juan Hose and everyone in the Copan Deanery.
Felix is a Category 4 storm now, and the areas it is forecast to hit are remote and poor. Our church has ongoing mission work near San Pedro Sula in the northern area of Honduras, so I ask your prayers for Fr. Juan Hose and everyone in the Copan Deanery.
02 September 2007
Gulf Storm Watch - 070902
12 hours is a lifetime in the blogosphere. Same is true with the atmosphere. The 8:00am EDT forecast track for 'Felix' has him starting to take more of the the traditional "northwest hook" when he gets into the southwest Gulf of Mexico.
The "Spaghetti Models" are looking this way, too:
That's clearer indication than they had at 8:00 pm EDT last night, and 'Felix' just might be a threat to the Texas and southwest Louisiana coasts after all. We'll see. Plus, there is a follow-on area of disturbance out in the Atlantic.
It may be a busy week, storm-wise. Remember, keep checking the Golden Triangle Weather Page for more storm-related information.
The "Spaghetti Models" are looking this way, too:
That's clearer indication than they had at 8:00 pm EDT last night, and 'Felix' just might be a threat to the Texas and southwest Louisiana coasts after all. We'll see. Plus, there is a follow-on area of disturbance out in the Atlantic.
It may be a busy week, storm-wise. Remember, keep checking the Golden Triangle Weather Page for more storm-related information.
01 September 2007
Gulf Storm Watch - 070901
Felix is now a hurricane.
While it looks certain to miss the US (see the "spaghetti models" here), northern Central America looks like it will take some or all of it. Areas in Honduras where we have mission work lie in the projected path. Again, prayers.
While it looks certain to miss the US (see the "spaghetti models" here), northern Central America looks like it will take some or all of it. Areas in Honduras where we have mission work lie in the projected path. Again, prayers.
31 August 2007
Gulf Storm Watch - 070831a
Uh, oh. Remember this post from just a few hours ago? Now take a look:
It's now Tropical Depression 6, or "Felix". Whie the NHC has the track forecast westerly, almost following the track "Dean" took a few weeks ago, some of the "spaghetti models" posted here forecasat a more northerly hook, passing between the Yucatan and Cuba.
Stay tuned.
It's now Tropical Depression 6, or "Felix". Whie the NHC has the track forecast westerly, almost following the track "Dean" took a few weeks ago, some of the "spaghetti models" posted here forecasat a more northerly hook, passing between the Yucatan and Cuba.
Stay tuned.
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