On The Minus Side: In the Sixth Congressional District, Laurinda Calongne has decided to not run for the seat in November. While I wish it were otherwise, I understand and respect her reasons. This leaves two questions out there - first, is Rep. Don Cazayoux beatable in November? That one is a toss-up. Current CW says no (he is still in his "honeymoon" period and most folks are willing to give him a chance), but he is supporting Obama, and that won't sit well with many Sixth District voters. If Cazayoux has a challenge from inside the Democratic Party, that could change the dynamic, too. Second question is, who will run for the GOP? Currently, only GOP State Senator and doctor, Bill Cassidy, has formally announced. But Woody Jenkins, the patron saint of lost GOP elections, is also looking at
01 July 2008
Balance Sheet.
On The Plus Side: Louisiana's Governor Bobby Jindal (R-I Found 'Em!) finally vetoed the Legislative pay raise at the last minute. He also apologized to the Leggies for breaking a promise to them to not interfere. But in vetoing the pay raise he was keeping a promise to those who, 'ya know, elected him. The voters. His boss. (And the Leggies boss, too. FWIW.) If Jindal had used his veto pen on day one he would have been a bloody hero, and he could have steamrolled Jim Tucker (R-Greedy) and his cronies. But now I think Jindal is damaged goods to both those who voted for him and those who he will have to work with to get anything done. How Jindal heals the wounds will be his next real test.
On The Minus Side: In the Sixth Congressional District, Laurinda Calongne has decided to not run for the seat in November. While I wish it were otherwise, I understand and respect her reasons. This leaves two questions out there - first, is Rep. Don Cazayoux beatable in November? That one is a toss-up. Current CW says no (he is still in his "honeymoon" period and most folks are willing to give him a chance), but he is supporting Obama, and that won't sit well with many Sixth District voters. If Cazayoux has a challenge from inside the Democratic Party, that could change the dynamic, too. Second question is, who will run for the GOP? Currently, only GOP State Senator and doctor, Bill Cassidy, has formally announced. But Woody Jenkins, the patron saint of lost GOP elections, is also looking atloosing running again.
On The Minus Side: In the Sixth Congressional District, Laurinda Calongne has decided to not run for the seat in November. While I wish it were otherwise, I understand and respect her reasons. This leaves two questions out there - first, is Rep. Don Cazayoux beatable in November? That one is a toss-up. Current CW says no (he is still in his "honeymoon" period and most folks are willing to give him a chance), but he is supporting Obama, and that won't sit well with many Sixth District voters. If Cazayoux has a challenge from inside the Democratic Party, that could change the dynamic, too. Second question is, who will run for the GOP? Currently, only GOP State Senator and doctor, Bill Cassidy, has formally announced. But Woody Jenkins, the patron saint of lost GOP elections, is also looking at
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3 comments:
I think if Cazayoux runs against any other Repub except Woody he loses this fall.
The "Obama factor" will play heavily in that, Charlie. The major reason folks will hit the polls in November is the POTUS race, and how that is going will largely define the winner of the Congressional race. Whatever the case, the GOP needs to have to have a positive candidate, who can articulate a positive message, to get conservative voters to the polls. Both in the Congressional race, and in the POTUS race.
I agree. And I think the majority of those POTUS driven voters will be friendly to a Repub. Unless of course it's Woody in which case I wouldn't be surprised to see a huge fall-off.
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