In response to Glenn Reynolds' question about New Orleans: "Not yet."
The majority of the models, including this one, show a westward track - and I'm willing to go with those until I see something different - and I live down here. We should always be prepared for a hit here in Louisiana (they have already activated some emergency preparedness agencies as a precaution, and we're rechecking our home hurricane supplies), but let's not go looking for trouble.